This page sketches some ideas for a proof of a Central Limit Theorem for correlated sequences. This is preliminary and exploratory.
Let
be a sequence of random variables and let
be the mean of the first
terms:
Lindeberg-Lévy CLT states
that:
under the assumptions that:
is an independent and identically distributed (IID) sequence;
the first two moments are
finite
In the Lindeberg-Lévy CLT the sequence
is required to be IID. In Central Limit Theorems for correlated sequences this
requirement is usually weakened by requiring
to be stationary and mixing. These theorems state
that:
where
under
the assumptions that:
is stationary and mixing;
the first two moments are
finite
other technical assumptions are satisfied. These additional technical assumptions are usually quite cumbersome (see e.g. the Wikipedia article on the CLT or Durrett, R. (2010) "Probability: Theory and Examples", Cambridge University Press; White, H. (2001) "Asymptotic theory for econometricians", Academic Press)
My question is: are these further (and cumbersome) technical assumptions really needed? I am thinking of a proof that does not require them. I am sketching it below.
Define a new sequence
as
follows:
where:
Obviously,
and
have the same limit in distribution (because they are the same sequence!).
Now, consider the sequence
defined as
follows:
It seems natural that also
and
have the same limit in distribution (dropping the
terms is like dropping a one-dimensional segment when you are integrating over
a rectangle - dropping a set of measure zero does not change the results;
actually, the above sum should be easily embeddable in an integral). Now, as
tends to infinity,
is a sum of IID random variables (by ergodicity and mixing). Therefore,
Lindeberg-Lévy CLT applies to
and the proposition is proved (really?).
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